Research report · South Asia
The Global Gen Z Protest Wave
Why young people mobilise, how digital platforms shape unrest, and who gains power. A global research report with detailed India, Europe and Nepal analysis.
Home / Research
Research & reports
Long-form work with a stated question, evidence the reader can check, named sources and a stable page to cite.
TrackerUS duty on Indian goods: 10% · Duty under the Russia Act: waived on 16 October · Waiver: no end dateIndia's Russian-Oil Tariff Tracker →
Featured research
Research briefs
Research report · Americas
Can America Sustain Its Global Defence Commitments?
Europe, the Middle East and East Asia, 2027–2030. A members' research report on whether the United States can keep its security commitments when crises overlap: the forces it can use, what allies can take on, and three scenarios to 2030.
Research report · South Asia
Will the US Switch On Its Waived 100% Russian-Oil Tariff, and Which Indian Exports Would Pay?
The full report. On 16 October Washington set a 100 per cent duty on the largest buyers of Russian oil and waived it in the same order. What the law and the order say, where India's Russian oil buying stands, how the waiver could end, and which Indian exports would pay if it does.
Research projects
All projects-
Research project · Complete · 6 parts
Protest in India, 2000 to 2026
Who is protesting in India, why now, who pays, who amplifies, and how much of it is engineered.
-
Research project · Complete · 2 parts
India and the Russian-oil tariff
What tariff Indian goods will face in the United States because of Russian oil, and for how long.
All research
Data-
Research report · South Asia
The Global Gen Z Protest Wave
Why young people mobilise, how digital platforms shape unrest, and who gains power. A global research report with detailed India, Europe and Nepal analysis.
-
Research report · Americas
Can America Sustain Its Global Defence Commitments?
Europe, the Middle East and East Asia, 2027–2030. A members' research report on whether the United States can keep its security commitments when crises overlap: the forces it can use, what allies can take on, and three scenarios to 2030.
-
Research report · South Asia
Will the US Switch On Its Waived 100% Russian-Oil Tariff, and Which Indian Exports Would Pay?
The full report. On 16 October Washington set a 100 per cent duty on the largest buyers of Russian oil and waived it in the same order. What the law and the order say, where India's Russian oil buying stands, how the waiver could end, and which Indian exports would pay if it does.
-
Research brief · Americas
The Debt Behind American Power
As US debt rises, the financial value of dollar dominance grows. This essay examines whether Washington can reduce its global commitments without weakening the conditions that help sustain its borrowing advantage.
-
Research brief · Russia & Eurasia
Which Firms in India, the UAE, Türkiye and China Are the US, EU and UK Sanctioning Over Russia and Iran?
Since January 2024 the US, the EU and the UK have taken 1,674 measures under their Russia and Iran sanctions against firms and people with an address in India, the UAE, Türkiye, mainland China or Hong Kong. A new monitor records every one, links it to its official source, and sets it beside the rules and the trade at stake.
-
Research brief · South Asia
Will the US Put a Tariff on Indian Goods Over Russian Oil, and Who Would Pay?
A new US law says the President must add a duty of up to 100 per cent to everything India sells to the United States because India buys Russian oil, unless he waives it. What the law says, how likely a duty is by 18 October, and which Indian exports would pay.
-
Research brief · South Asia
Five Movements, One Template: What India's Big Protests Have in Common
Part 5 of The Protest Question. Put India's five largest movements since 2019 on the same twelve-line template and a pattern appears. Each had a domestic trigger a court or ministry can be named for. Each was met with a foreign-hand claim within days. Twenty such claims are on the record. A court has upheld none of them.
-
Research brief · South Asia
The Verdict: Is India's Protest Wave Engineered?
Part 6 of The Protest Question. The series set out to test a hypothesis many Indians hold and officials repeat: that the country's rising protests are engineered from outside. This part makes the strongest case for it, the strongest case against it, and says what the evidence settles, what it cannot, and what follows for the state, for investors and for India's standing.
-
Research brief · South Asia
Follow the Money: What the FCRA Record Shows About Who Pays for India's Protests
Part 3 of The Protest Question. The state's lever over foreign money is the Foreign Contribution (Regulation) Act, and it has been pulled hard: half the licences gone in a decade, a new Bill that would seize lapsed NGOs' assets. What the orders, charge sheets and judgments do not yet contain is a single finding that foreign money paid for a protest of the last six years.
-
Research brief · South Asia
The Foreign Hand, Measured: What Is Proven About the Amplification of India's Protests
Part 4 of The Protest Question. Coordinated amplification of Indian protest is plausible in every direction and documented in several. For the Cockroach Janta Party movement of 2026, the claims of a Pakistani network and a digital conspiracy rest, as of October, on nothing anyone can examine. This part separates what platforms, courts and researchers have shown from what officials have said.
-
Research brief · South Asia
What Indians Are Protesting About. It Isn't Prices.
Part 2 of The Protest Question. The grievance behind India's record protest count is the state's failing examination and hiring machine, not the cost of living. The data shows where the pain is, when it erupts, and what companies operating in India should read into it.
-
Research brief · South Asia
Are Indians Protesting More? Yes. Here Is the Evidence.
Every count of protests that exists for India points the same way. The ACLED event record shows demonstrations nearly doubled since 2016 and at a record in 2024 to 2026. The police's own count of agitations was rising before that. A catalogue of 217 major protests since 2000 shows the rate doubling since the late 2010s. The protests are also more peaceful than a decade ago. What has fallen is rioting, which is a different thing.
-
Research paper · Americas
The End of the Liberal International Order? What Comes Next, We Still Do Not Know
The liberal international order is widely held to be breaking apart, yet scholars disagree about what is breaking, when the breakdown began, and what will take its place.